Monday Night Football Pick – Chiefs @ Packers
The Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) face off against the Green Bay Packers (2-0) at Lambeau Field this week. The NFL’s fifth-leading rusher, Jamaal Charles (182 yards, 1 TD) will be the focal point of this matchup. It will begin Monday, Sep 28 at 8:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on ESPN.
Green Bay beat Seattle 27-17 last week. Randall Cobb had a big game in the win, registering eight catches for 116 yards. Aaron Rodgers also had a big day, contributing 249 yards and two TDs through the air. Kansas City didn’t have the same success as Green Bay, getting beat by Denver 31-24. Jamaal Charles had an outstanding performance on the ground for the Chiefs, rushing for 125 yards and one TD on 21 carries.
The Packers, a six-point favorite, will be looking to keep home-field advantage when Kansas City visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 48 points.
Heading into Week 3 of league action, the Packers are unbeaten with a 2-0 record Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS). Green Bay has a tight pass defense, allowing a completion percentage of 56.1%. One of the keys to the game will be if the Packers can take advantage of the turnover-prone Chiefs, who rank 26th in the league in turnovers with 2.5 per game. Green Bay finishes games strong, averaging a league-best 12.5 points in the fourth quarter.
Across the field, the Chiefs have 1-1 SU and ATS records this season. The Packers have struggled to stop their opponents’ running games. The Chiefs will look to find weaknesses in a run defense that ranks 31st in the NFL with 154 rushing yards allowed per game. Special teams is an area of weakness for the Packers, giving up 87.5 return yards per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – KC, ATS Winner – KC, O/U – Over
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games on the road.
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Green Bay.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games when playing Green Bay.
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
Green Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City.
Each team is 1-0 SU when leading at halftime this season.
When it comes to passing this season, Green Bay is rated higher on both sides of the ball. Its 21st-ranked passing attack will face the 23rd-ranked pass defense of Kansas City, while its 12th-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 25th-ranked passing game of the Chiefs.
Kansas City has allowed 25.5 points per game this year, which is ranked only 24th in the league. Green Bay has put up 29.0 points per contest this year and is ranked fifth overall.